Publications:

The Shadow Carceral State and Racial Inequality in Turnout. British Journal of Political Science. With Anne McDonough and Tali Mendelberg. 

Improving Probabilistic Models in Text Classification via Active Learning. With Mitchell Bosley, Saki Kuzushima, and Yuki Shiraito. American Political Science Review. Supplemental Information can be found here and here.

Russian Invasion of Ukraine and Chinese Public Support for War (2024). With Deniz Aksoy and Tony Yang. International Organization. Vol. 78, No. 2, pp. 341-360. Online Appendix here

Jailed while Innocent: The Demobilizing Effects of Pretrial Incarceration. (2022). With Anne McDonough and Tali Mendelberg. Journal of Politics. Vol. 84, No. 3, pp. 1777-1790.

The Importance of Being Ernest, Ekundayo, or Eswari: An Interpretable Machine Learning Approach to Name-Based Ethnicity Classification. (2022). With Vaishali Jain and Cynthia Rudin. Harvard Data Science Review.

A Primer on Probabilistic Record Linkage. In Handbook of Computational Social Science. Edited by Uwe Engel, Anabel Quan-Haase, Xun Liu, and Lars Lyberg. Taylor and Francis Ltd. 2022.

Surrounded and Threatened: How Neighborhood Composition Reduces Ethnic Voting Through Intimidation. (2022). With Svetlana Kosterina. Political Science Research and Methods. Vol. 10, No. 1, pp. 68-81.

Scaling Data from Multiple Sources. (2021). With Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma and Marc Ratkovic. Political Analysis. Vol. 29, No. 2, pp. 212-235. Online appendix here.

Probabilistic Blocking and Distributed Bayesian Entity Resolution. (2020). With Rebecca C. Steorts. Privacy in Statistical Databases (Springer’s Lecture Notes in Computer Science 12276).

Validating Self-reported Turnout by Linking Public Opinion Surveys with Administrative Records. (2019). With Kosuke Imai. Public Opinion Quarterly.  Vol. 83, No. 4, pp. 723-748. Online appendix here. Vote validation data for the 2016 ANES here and for the 2016 CCES here.

Using a Probabilistic Model to Assist Merging of Large-scale Administrative Records. (2019). With Ben Fifield and Kosuke Imai. American Political Science Review. Vol. 113, No. 2, pp. 353-371. Online appendix here

Income Inequality and Violent Crime: Evidence from Mexico's Drug War. (2016). With Luis F. López-Calva, Carlos Rodríguez-Castelán, and Hernán Winkler. Journal of Development Economics. Vol. 120, pp. 128-143.

The National News Media’s Effect on Congress: How Fox News Affected Elites in Congress. (2014). With Joshua D. Clinton. Journal of Politics, Vol. 76, No. 4, pp. 928-943. Replication files here.

Crime and growth convergence: Evidence from Mexico. (2014). With Luis F. López-Calva, Carlos Rodríguez-Castelán. Economics Letters. Vol. 125, No. 1,  pp. 9-13.

Working papers:

Active Learning for Probabilistic Record Linkage.

Selected work in progress:

Money and Votes in Electoral Competition. With Matias Iaryczower and Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma.

The Power of Aggregation for Probabilistic Record Linkage. With Aaron Kaufman.

A Locality Sensitive Hashing Approach for Probabilistic Record Linkage.

Other writing & media:

The 2020 U.S. Presidential Election. Al Banquillo (Aired on November 3rd, 2020).

Election Special: The 2020 U.S. Presidential Election. Frente a Frente (Aired on October 28th, 2020)

The Importance of the U.S. Elections for Central America. Al Banquillo (Aired on October 22nd, 2020).

Georgia’s ‘exact match’ law could potentially harm many eligible voters. The Monkey Cage/The Washington Post. (October 20th, 2018).

Does Lower Inequality Lead to Less Crime? With Luis F. López-Calva, Carlos Rodríguez-Castelán, and Hernán Winkler. World Bank Blog. (August 20th, 2018).